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To assert that no one in Ukraine will defend the regime means, in practice, complete ignorance of the military-political situation and the mood of the broad masses of the people in the neighboring state.
Moreover, the degree of hatred (which, as you know, is the most effective fuel for armed struggle) in the neighboring republic in relation to Moscow is frankly underestimated. No one will meet the Russian army with bread, salt and flowers in Ukraine.
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Of course, the MO RF will inflict heavy losses on a potential enemy.
But to expect to crush the armed forces of an entire state with just one such blow means to show simply unbridled optimism in the course of planning and conducting combat operations.
In the course of hypothetical strategic actions on the theater of operations, such MO RFs will have to be applied not one or two, but much more.
It must be added by all means that the stocks of promising and high-precision weapons in the RF Armed Forces are not of any unlimited nature.
Hypersonic missiles of the Zircon type are not yet in service.
And the number of Kalibr (sea-launched cruise missiles), Kinzhals, Kh-101 (air-launched cruise missiles) and Iskander missiles is measured in the hundreds at best (tens in the case of Kinzhals).
This arsenal is absolutely not enough to wipe out a state the size of France and with a population of over 40 million from the face of the Earth. Namely, Ukraine is characterized by such parameters.
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Of course, today the Armed Forces of Ukraine are significantly inferior to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in terms of their combat and operational capabilities.
No one doubts this, neither in the East nor in the West.
But this army cannot be taken lightly either.
In this regard, one must always remember the testament of Alexander Suvorov:
"Never despise your enemy, do not consider him stupider and weaker than you."
Now with regard to the assertion that Western countries will not send a single soldier to die for Ukraine.
It should be noted that this is likely to be the case.
However, in the event of Russia's invasion, this does not at all rule out massive assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the collective West with a wide variety of weapons and military equipment and bulk deliveries of all kinds of materiel.
In this regard, the West has already shown a consolidated position, unprecedented until now, which, it seems, was not predicted in Moscow.
There is no doubt that the United States and the countries of the North Atlantic Alliance will begin some kind of reincarnation of Lend-Lease, modeled after the Second World War, there is no doubt.
An influx of volunteers from the West, which can be very numerous, is not ruled out.
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And finally, about the duration of a hypothetical campaign.
In the Russian expert community, several hours are called, sometimes even several tens of minutes.
At the same time, it is somehow forgotten that we have already gone through all this.
The phrase "take the city with one airborne regiment in two hours" has already become a classic of the genre.
It is also worth recalling that the mighty Stalinist NKVD and the multi-million Soviet army fought the nationalist underground in Western Ukraine for more than 10 years.
And now there is an option that the whole of Ukraine can easily go into the partisans.
In addition, these formations can easily begin to operate already on the territory of Russia.
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The armed struggle in large Ukrainian cities is generally difficult to predict. It is common knowledge that the big city is the best battlefield for the weak and less technically advanced side of the armed conflict.
Serious experts emphasize that in a metropolis it is possible not only to concentrate a grouping of thousands and even tens of thousands of fighters, but also to hide it from the superior firepower of the enemy.
And also to supply it with material resources for a long time and make up for losses in people and equipment.
Neither mountains, nor forests, nor jungles today provide such an opportunity.
Experts are convinced that the urban environment helps the defenders, slows down the movement of the attackers, allows you to place a record number of fighters per unit area, and compensates for the lag in forces and technologies.
And in Ukraine there are more than enough large cities, including those with a million inhabitants.
So the Russian army in the course of a hypothetical war with Ukraine may meet with far more than just Stalingrad and Grozny.
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In general, there will be no Ukrainian blitzkrieg.
The statements of some experts such as “The Russian army will defeat most of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 30-40 minutes”, “Russia is able to defeat Ukraine in 10 minutes in the event of a full-scale war”, “Russia will defeat Ukraine in eight minutes” have no serious grounds.
And finally, the most important thing. An armed conflict with Ukraine is currently fundamentally not in Russia's national interests.
Therefore, it is best for some overexcited Russian experts to forget about their hatred fantasies. And in order to prevent further reputational losses, never remember again.
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